Making (Covid) Waves in Japan

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Japan's experts try to explain high Covid deaths despite multiple boosters: “vaccine-acquired immunity has possibly waned”
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Japan's experts try to explain high Covid deaths despite multiple boosters: “vaccine-acquired immunity has possibly waned”

Guy Gin
Jan 19
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Japan's experts try to explain high Covid deaths despite multiple boosters: “vaccine-acquired immunity has possibly waned”
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Last week, we saw how baffled Japan’s experts were as to why Japan’s Covid deaths are higher than ever despite high booster rates among the elderly.

Earlier this week, the experts took a shot at the answer. Here’s Takaji Wakita, chairman of Japan’s Covid Response Advisory Board.

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Cause of the increase in Covid deaths: The ratio of fatal cases aged over 80 is high; vaccine-acquired immunity has possibly waned.

“Possibly waned”? After most elderly Japanese got their 4th shots last summer, the government shortened the waiting period between boosters from 5 to 3 months so that the quadruple-jabbed could get Omicron jabs before the end of 2022, which the majority of elderly did. But apparently these boosters’ effectiveness against death has already waned, and it’s only January. To prevent waning immunity, are the elderly supposed to get a shot every month? Actually, don’t answer that, Dr Wakita.

The government’s experts enthusiastically recommended the mouse-tested Omicron boosters because they “expected” them to be effective. But in the subtitled clip below from Osaka-based regional news channel MBS, Osaka Metropolitan University’s Prof Kido admits that even now “there is no evidence that the number of elderly people who die would be significantly reduced even if they were vaccinated four or five times.”

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Japanese media reports that the number of deaths has reached a record high following the vaccination campaign. According to Professor Yasutoshi Kido, it is doubtful that even the elderly would benefit from vaccination.
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Vaccination drive resulted in more deaths in Japan Professor Yasutoshi Kido Osaka Public University: "Because of haste production, the vaccine became ineffective much more quickly than we expected." https://t.co/6IEkzj36Rp https://t.co/KlUzz0UG2Y
1:33 PM ∙ Jan 17, 2023
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It looks like the Omicron booster trials were a waste of good mice.

But how many of these deaths are actually from Covid rather than with it? Among reported Covid deaths in Osaka since late September, 46.5% had Covid as the main cause of death (orange), 31.3% had a different main cause but Covid as a contributing factor (yellow), and 22.2% were unrelated to Covid (blue).

Covid deaths in Osaka Pref by age group and cause of death (CoD). Orange: Covid as main CoD. Yellow: Other CoD but Covid as contributing factor. Blue: Unrelated to Covid.

So as long as anyone who dies with a PCR+ result is counted as a Covid death, any claims that endless boosters will save lives are obviously ridiculous since (1) they don’t stop you testing positive…

Simon-Makuch plot comparing the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 for subjects stratified by the number of COVID-19 vaccine doses previously received. Day zero was 12 September 2022, the day the bivalent vaccine began to be offered to employees. (Source)

…and (2) they certainly don’t stop you dying.

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Japan's experts try to explain high Covid deaths despite multiple boosters: “vaccine-acquired immunity has possibly waned”
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18 Comments
Guy Cihi
Jan 19·edited Jan 19Liked by Guy Gin

There is no upside to extending the lives of Japan’s elderly. Sorry, that is just the way it is. Naive observers may wish to believe there are government operatives who care about end-of-life extension. They don’t. Maybe they care about their own parents but then again, probably not.

Among other things… I own a business that provides seasonal / cultural installations in high-end Japanese senior care facilities.

Residents love it. Their guilt-ridden children love hearing about it from their parents. The facility staff love it. Our work brightens their days; gives them something new to talk about, and gives them something to take photos with. Japanese love photos. Our work is soul satisfying work. I feel incredibly blessed to be involved with it.

However, the reality is that our clients are the facility owners. The emotional-spiritual benefits that we provide are tatemae. The honne is that our business model costs the owners less than what competitors were charging them. That is our company’s actual advantage.

From my clients; the owners, I know for a fact that the 1.8% monthly death rate has doubled to 3.7% since the required mRNA injections began. And that rate is still accelerating.

Thankfully, my staff were never required to be injected. I refused. We go in and replace the installations while wearing masks. We add to the bottom line and make people happy. Exemptions are made for us.

Please don’t take this the wrong way. Higher turnover due to premature deaths at senior care facilities is simply more profitable for everyone. Replacing incontinent residents with ambulatory-continent residents is more profitable. Children inherit 1/2 of their parent’s assets but only when they die. Government gets a threefer - pension payments stop, medical insurance stops, and 1/2 of the deceased’s assets go to pay death taxes. The government benefits the most from accelerated death of Japan’s untaxable elderly.

Anyone who looks at Japan’s inverted population pyramid can see the logic of what I am describing. It is exactly what the structure and systems require. It is logical. And it’s not only Japan. This same is happening in 17 of the G20 nations.

In summation, there is no institutional incentive to prolong life in Japan. The best that can be said is that efforts are made to create a more positive end-of-life experience. Like with the work we do.

If the tax system and physical structures are changed so that life extension creates instead of consumes value, then everything would reverse. For now and for the foreseeable future, accelerated deaths can not only be expected, they can be understood as required.

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Kitsune, Maskless Crusader.
Writes Kitsune, Maskless Crusader
Jan 19·edited Jan 19Liked by Guy Gin

Just finished the second part of a two part lesson on how masks can not, do not stop viruses. I hope I was able to plant seeds of doubt. These 1st year students stated they believe the computer modeling over field testing, and studies and knowledge that predates the panic, so we’ll see. None are aware that there could possibly be even a correlation between shot rates and death rates. Med students.

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